We review our performance, ask what went well and what went wrong, and how we can improve our process and models.
Our cookbooks outline the key principles that influence how we approach markets and building models.
In this series of reports, we describe how we think about fundamental economic and market concepts.
Modeling long term themes like demographics, capital cycles, debt and currency crises. Our long-term models work over horizons of 2-3 years and beyond.
We create leading indicators for inflation, growth and liquidity. These allow us to navigate the business cycle over 6-12 months.
Our tactical indicators and signals help clients with short term positioning. These signals are useful over time horizons of days and weeks.
We bring together our core views and investment ideas. The portfolio is created by balancing time horizons and sizing positions appropriately.
Qualitative research together with our models allow us to find the next big investment theme. We have covered Shale, Biotech, and the Commodity Super Cycle.
We write up investment ideas that emerge from our tactical and cyclical indicators. We also discuss current market drivers.
A monthly overview of market drivers, critical indicators, and key investment views.