Real Yields Wildly Mispriced Given Stagflation Light

The US now has the worst combination of outcomes, poor growth and rising inflation.  Bond yields are now the most negative they have been in almost forty years.  Only in the 1970s during stagflationary episodes were real yields this negative.    We don’t see a high...

Inflation to hold UK recovery back

There are some notable reasons for near-term reasons for optimism in the UK.  The housing market seems to be picking up, industrial production growth is looking up together with PMI data and the equity market has done well. All these are real and significant signs of...