Breadth and Level of Stock P/E’s Remains High

The overvaluation from long-term averages for US stocks in recent years has been well known to equity investors. Unfortunately, valuations give you no information on timing – they tell you how far you’re likely to fall, but not when. The virus, specifically the...

No Margin Support for Equities

P/E expansion has been an important driver of US equity returns in recent years. The left chart shows the disaggregation of returns in 5 year blocks going back to 1996. As we can see, in the years 2011-2016, 55% points of the 79% return of the S&P in that period...