Yield Curve: Forwards Hold some Clues

The 2s10s yield curve continues to grind incrementally lower, but negative carry is becoming a formidable headwind. One year carry on this part of the curve is a punitive 28bps. We are also seeing the forward yield curve struggling to flatten any more (top-left...

Bank of England Mood Changes

This post is taken from our April 24th weekly report. Much like the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England has been itching to normalise monetary policy following nearly a decade of providing emergency assistance to the economy. Buoyed by the run up in prices over the...

UK: From Fixed to Floating; Mortgage Types Highlight Stress Ahead

Despite an historic low Bank of England base rate, the spread between the standard variable rate (SVR) for mortgages in the UK and the base rate widened significantly in the aftermath of the financial crisis, and has continued to trend higher. Fixed rate deals in the...