Early Indicators of SNB Intervention

We previously highlighted the significance of the 1.10 level for EURCHF – a level which would likely trigger intervention from the SNB. The central bank has previously sought to weaken the franc when EURCHF has been below this level and, despite an arguably weaker...

SNB may soon come under pressure

We have previously argued that the Swiss National Bank has become slightly more tolerant of modest currency strength, given that the sheer scale of previous FX intervention has dented the central bank’s appetite for further balance sheet expansion. The top-left chart,...

Switzerland Facing Effects of Consumer Debt Binge

While the Swiss banking sector has deleveraged over the past decade, the household sector exploited record low interest rates and strong income growth to take on more debt and fund acquisitions in the booming property market. Relative to GDP, household debt is now the...