Emerging Market Valuations Will be Compelling

A weak oil price and a strong dollar rally will put pressure on emerging markets, but valuations for many emerging markets should soon be compelling.  Emerging markets have been in a downtrend relative to the S&P since 2010.  We will likely see further weakness...

BOJ Putting Pressure on Other Asian Central Banks

Further yen weakness, in an environment of slowing global growth, will put pressure on other central banks to ease policy.  Although attention is rightly focused on the ECB, Japan’s biggest trade partners, who derive significant parts of GDP from trade with Japan, are...

Morbidly Obese Australian Banks

Australian banks have grown in size hugely in recent years.  Astonishingly, Commonwealth Bank of Australia is the tenth largest bank in the world, despite Australia having a far smaller population than China, the US and the UK – the other countries who have...

Disappointing development in Chinese leading indicators

Our leading indicator for China has turned down further which adds to the impression of an overall weak turn in Chinese growth.  We would still term the turning point as intact, but all components of our leading indicator recently came in with negative readings. This...