Variant Perception

Empirical | Repeatable | Actionable

View Film
toggle button for hero background video

Executive Summary

For time-constrained investors, Variant Perception offers an intuitive investment portal with tools and analysis to speed up the investment process.

Backed by more than a decade of R&D and the latest quantitative techniques, we are a full-stack research solution for our clients, from pensions and family offices to macro hedge funds and fundamental equity investors.

VP's analytical process is empirical and repeatable: "man plus machine beats man or machine alone".

Empirical Philosophy

VP Cookbook
VP cookbook open book image

Our cookbooks outline the key principles that influence how we approach markets and building models.

Understanding
Series
Understanding series head gears image

In this series of reports, we describe how we think about fundamental economic and market concepts.

Repeatable Models

Process Review
Process review moving arrows image

We review our performance, ask what went well and what went wrong, and how we can improve our process and models.

Structural Indicators
structural indicators climbing arrow image

Modeling long term themes like demographics, capital cycles, debt and currency crises. Our long-term models work over horizons of 2-3 years and beyond.

Leading
Indicators
leading indicators wave line image

We create leading indicators for inflation, growth and liquidity. These allow us to navigate the business cycle over
6-12 months.

Tactical
Indicators
tactical indicators image

Our tactical indicators and signals help clients with short term positioning. These signals are useful over time horizons of days and weeks.

Macro Snapshot
macro snapshot image

A monthly overview of market drivers, critical indicators, and key investment views.

Actionable Ideas

Asset Allocation
asset allocation pie chart image

We bring together our core views and investment ideas. The portfolio is created by balancing time horizons and sizing positions appropriately.

Thematic
thematic image

Qualitative research together with our models allow us to find the next big investment theme. We have covered Shale, Biotech, and the Commodity Super Cycle.

Portfolio Watch
portfolio watch light bulb image

We write up investment ideas that emerge from our tactical and cyclical indicators. We also discuss current market drivers.

Empirical. Repeatable. Actionable.

Services

Investment Portal

Tools and analysis to speed up the investment process

On-demand access to VP’s multi-asset investment tools across three time-horizons; the tactical (1-3 months), the cyclical (6-12 months), and the structural (2-3 years).

Thematic

Hunting for the next big idea, based on data and qualitative deep dive

We've covered Shale, Biotech, Commodity Supercycle, SPACs, China, Euro Breakup and many others before they played out.

Portfolio Watch

Actionable ideas powered by VP's leading indicators

We leverage VP’s growth, inflation and liquidity indicators to track changes in the 6-12 month outlook. Each week, we reflect on market action, review ideas and make tactical recommendations.