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A Million SPX Put Contracts Traded Today…a Contrarian Timing Signal

With a half hour to go in today’s trading session, over one million put contracts have already been traded on the S&P 500 index, which is about 2 ½ times the average daily volume. This elevated put volume comes on top of 913,000 SPX put contracts yesterday, which was the second highest for 2012. The one million level is rarely seen in SPX puts and generally indicates an extreme amount of hedging on the part of institutional investors, as well as increased speculative activity.

Individual Investor Sentiment Near Two Year Lows

First it was the strategists lowering their recommended equity allocation down to the lowest levels since March 2009.  Now, individual investors are at their most bearish levels in nearly two years.  According to the weekly survey of individual investor sentiment from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), bullish sentiment came in at it 23.6%, which is the lowest weekly reading since August 2010.

Companies Bigger Than Apple's Decline in Market Cap

While the stock was on its way up, we did a lot of comparisons to what Apple's (AAPL) increase in market cap was equivalent to in terms of other companies.  Now that the stock is on its way down, it is only fair to do the same thing.  Since AAPL peaked on April 10th, the stock has lost $104 billion in market cap.  Currently, there are only 21 companies in the United States besides AAPL with a market cap that is greater than the amount of market cap that AAPL has lost.  

Global Stock Market Loses $4.1 Trillion in Two Months

Below is a chart of the Bloomberg World index's change in market cap since the start of 2011.  Stocks worldwide have a total market cap of roughly $37 trillion at the moment.  As shown, this is down $3.1 trillion since the start of 2011 and down $4.1 trillion over the past two months.  Since the start of May, the world has lost roughly $3 trillion in market cap.

Facebook Could Make 2012 a Record for Internet/Social Media IPOs

If Facebook raises over $16 billion in its inital public offering tomorrow it will eclispe 1999's record setting year of $15.8B raised from internet/social media IPOs.

Charts with Comments

Some of the more popular charts across a variety of markets.  These are weekly charts.  The black and red dots are key pivot points, which represent the best areas of support (buying) and resistance (selling).  The general consensus: if you were a bull 3 weeks ago, then you are likely underwater in your positions and [...]

Which Comes First? Dow 12,000 or Dow 13,000?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has now fallen more than 800 points over the past two weeks to its current level of 12,500.  If it continues at its current pace over the next two weeks, it will be near 11,500 by the end of May.  In order to gauge investor sentiment, below is a poll that asks which level the Dow will now reach first -- 12,000 or 13,000.  Please take part and we'll report back with the results shortly.  Thanks for participating!

Short-selling litigation: An enlightening mistake

A RARE slip-up by lawyers has helped shed some light on a high-profile legal battle, the details of which some of the largest Wall Street firms have been fighting to keep under wraps. The case concerns allegations of illegal “naked” short selling, where the rules have been tightened several times over the past seven years.In 2007 Overstock sued 11 brokers, alleging that they had caused its share price to fall by helping their clients to naked-short the Utah-based retailer. In a normal short sale, shares are borrowed (or at least “located”) with a broker’s help before being sold.

JPMorgan Chase: Dimon in the rough

A BIG but digestible mistake by a financial institution with abundant profits and capital should normally be viewed as the market equivalent of an electric shock, a jolt that leads to smarter behaviour. The response to JPMorgan Chase’s $2 billion (and rising) loss on a position taken by its chief investment office could not have been more highly charged.The loss has reinforced the political appeal of bashing banks, no matter what the facts.

Selling clothes online in Russia: Fabric of society

ONLINE as well as offline, imitation is the sincerest form of flattery. Vente-Privée, a firm founded on the strange notion that French women might like fashionable clothes at deep discounts, has been paid this compliment more than most. Companies cut from similar cloth have appeared in one country after another.

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