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: The Economist: Finance
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The Cypriot gasfield: Hot air

AS CYPRUS scrambled this week to find extra cash, pundits kept returning to the potential of the Aphrodite gasfield in the deep waters of the Mediterranean (see map). If revenues from these big reserves could be used to underpin bail-out loans, might that elicit better terms from its lenders?Gas is there in abundance, but how much is unclear.

Marjorie Deane application

Applications are invited for The Economist’s 2013 Marjorie Deane internships. Financed by the Marjorie Deane Financial Journalism Foundation, the awards are designed to provide work experience for a promising journalist or would-be journalist, who will spend three months at The Economist writing about economics and finance. Applicants are asked to write a covering letter and an original article of no more than 500 words that they think would be suitable for publication in the Finance and economics section.

India’s shadow economy: Evasive action

THE videos were set to the James Bond theme tune and labelled as a “shocking mega-exposé”. They were released by an investigative website called Cobrapost on March 13th, and have hit the share prices of India’s biggest private-sector banks.

The Cyprus bail-in: A bungled bank raid

IT TAKES some doing to induce nostalgia for Jean-Claude Juncker. The prime minister of Luxembourg was the head of the Eurogroup of finance ministers when the bail-outs of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain’s banks were agreed on. Those deals now seem like a model of sure-footedness.

Free exchange: Where did everyone go?

MILTON FRIEDMAN once compared the business cycle to an elastic string stretched on a board. How far the string is plucked determines how much it springs back; similarly, the depth of a recession decides the strength of recovery. America’s recent experience has not been kind to the plucking model. Although the recession was the deepest since the second world war, the recovery has been a disappointment.

Insider trading: And the winner is…

HEDGE funds survive by knowing when to take a deal and when to pass. What then can be concluded from SAC Capital’s willingness to pay the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) a record $616m fine on March 15th to settle a longstanding probe into insider trading?One interpretation is that SAC paid a serious price because of a serious crime. The bill dwarfs the second-largest penalty for insider trading, the $157m imposed on Raj Rajaratnam in 2011, and the third, the $100m paid by Ivan Boesky in 1986.

European bank bondholders: How many one-offs make a trend?

EVERYONE agrees that taxpayers should be protected from the cost of bailing out failing banks. But imposing blanket losses on creditors is still taboo. Depositors have escaped the financial crisis largely unscathed for fear of sparking panic, which is why the idea of hitting uninsured depositors in Cypriot banks has caused policymakers angst. Derivatives counterparties have usually been made whole. Senior bondholders have generally been protected, too (although that will change with a new European “bail-in” regime, due by 2018).There is one easy target, however.

Free exchange: High, wide or handsome?

INFLATION hawks watch measures of inflation expectations for signs that money-printing central banks are weakening price stability. Central bankers study inflation expectations just as closely: if there is little evidence of rising expectations, they can argue that the inflation genie will stay safely corked. But expectations matter not just because they show how high people assume inflation will go. They also provide a window on how unsure people are about the future path of price rises.

World trade: The other conclave

THE World Trade Organisation’s general council will skip the plume of smoke when it chooses its new director-general in May. But what it would give for just a fraction of the attention bestowed this week on the cardinals gathered in the Vatican to choose a new pope. Since the Doha round of multilateral trade talks collapsed in 2008, the WTO has struggled to rebuild interest in broad liberalisation. The nine nominees to succeed Pascal Lamy in the WTO’s top job are busily campaigning for support in its Geneva headquarters and in member countries.

Buttonwood: Credit watch

WHEN this millennium began, investors were confident that an era of high stockmarket returns was here to stay. Not only were American share prices at record-high valuations but books like “Dow 36,000” and “Dow 100,000” promised much more to come.Alas, the first decade of the 21st century proved a great disappointment.

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