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: Calculated Risk
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Schedule for Week of May 19th

May 18th, 2013
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The key reports this week are the April existing home sales on Wednesday, and the April new home sales report on Thursday. On Wednesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will provide testimony on the Economic Outlook, before the Joint Economic Committee, U.S. Congress. Also on Wednesday, the FOMC minutes for the most recent meeting will be released. ----- Monday, May 20th ----- 8:30 AM ET: Chicago Fed National Activity Index for April. This is a composite index of other data.

CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices declined seasonally in March

May 17th, 2013
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Here is a price index for commercial real estate that I follow.  From CoStar: Annual Pricing Gains Seen Across All Regions and Property Types Despite Seasonal Slowdown in First Quarter 2013

LA area Port Traffic: Exports down slightly in April

May 17th, 2013
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Container traffic gives us an idea about the volume of goods being exported and imported - and possibly some hints about the trade report for April since LA area ports handle about 40% of the nation's container port traffic. The following graphs are for inbound and outbound traffic at the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach in TEUs (TEUs: 20-foot equivalent units or 20-foot-long cargo container).

BLS: Unemployment Rate declined in 40 States in April

May 17th, 2013
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From the BLS: April jobless rates down in 40 states, up in 3; payroll jobs up in 30 states, down in 18 Regional and state unemployment rates were generally little changed in April. Forty states and the District of Columbia had unemployment rate decreases, three states had increases, and seven states had no change, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. ...

Friday: Consumer Sentiment

May 17th, 2013
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From the WSJ: To Buy Bonds or Not to Buy: Fed Hawks, Doves Air Views The presidents of the Dallas, Richmond and Philadelphia Federal Reserve banks, long skeptics of the wisdom of the bond buying, said this week that they would like to see the purchases scaled back immediately.

Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April

May 16th, 2013
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Economist Tom Lawler sent me the updated table below of short sales, foreclosures and cash buyers for several selected cities in April.  Look at the two columns in the table for Total "Distressed" Share. In every area that has reported distressed sales so far, the share of distressed sales is down year-over-year - and down significantly in many areas. 

Housing Starts: A few Comments and Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent

May 16th, 2013
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A few comments: • Overall the housing starts report was a little disappointing. Even just looking at single family starts (removing the volatile multi-family sector), starts were down 2.1% from March. However single family starts were up 20.8% year-over-year, and that is a solid increase.

Key Measures show low and falling inflation in April

May 16th, 2013
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The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:

Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Contraction in May

May 16th, 2013
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Note: I'll have more on housing starts and inflation later ... From the Philly Fed: May Manufacturing Survey

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