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Guest Columnist at The Striking Price for Barron’s: Calm Down and Exploit Others’ Anxieties

November 19th, 2012
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On Wednesday I had an opportunity to serve as a guest columnist for The Striking Price on behalf of Steven Sears at Barron’s for the eighth time, focusing my attention on some of the early findings from the VIX and More Fear Poll in Calm Down and Exploit Others’ Anxiet

Weekly VIX and More Fear Poll

November 16th, 2012
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This week has seen a large volume of market-moving news related to the fiscal cliff, Israel, the leadership change in China, post-Sandy economic data and of course the seemingly never-ending saga of the European sovereign debt crisis. All this makes it an excellent time for the weekly Fear Poll to determine which issue is most concerning to the investment community.

Fear Poll: Fiscal Cliff Fears Spike, Concerns About Excessive Central Bank Intervention Rise

November 12th, 2012
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For the fourth week in a row, the U.S. fiscal cliff topped the list of investor fears about the stock market.

The Rise of Fiscal Cliff Concerns

November 11th, 2012
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How much of the recent selloff in stocks has been triggered by media’s sudden obsession with the U.S. fiscal cliff? Is it possible that very little has changed under the surface, but the decibels associated with this issue are now off the charts?

Weekly VIX and More Fear Poll

November 9th, 2012
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Thanks to all who have responded to the first three VIX and More fear polls and who continue to provide their input going forward. You votes are important to helping us see how the collective thinking on various threats to the stock market is evolving. Going forward, I will continue to post this poll each Friday and have the poll close the following Monday at 9:00 a.m. Pacific Time, at which point I will summarize the results and offer some commentary.

Performance of VIX ETPs During Current Pullback

November 9th, 2012
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Of all the issues discussed in this space, undoubtedly the one that captures the imagination of most readers is the subject of VIX-based exchange-traded products. I get more questions about the construction of these products, how they respond to the VIX futures term structure, what factors influence performance, etc.

SPX Pullback Hits 5.9%, Fourth Longest Drawdown Since March 2009 Bull Began

November 7th, 2012
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The S&P 500 index fell as low as 1388 today, down 86 points or 5.9% from its September 14th high of 1474.

Fiscal Cliff Worries Grow As Election Nears

November 5th, 2012
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Anxiety over the outcome of the U.S. fiscal cliff topped the list of investor fears about the stock market for the third week in a row, outpolling the European sovereign debt crisis, which finished a distant second, and U.S. elections, which edged out weak earnings for third place.

How High Might the VIX Spike?

November 5th, 2012
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Given all the drama in the euro zone, not to mention the fiscal cliff, the various difficulties in China, continued unrest in the Middle East and Northern Africa, etc. it is more than a little surprising that the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has failed to trade above 30.00 this year.

Weekly VIX and More Fear Poll (Closes Monday, 9 AM PT)

November 2nd, 2012
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Thanks to all who have responded to the first two VIX and More fear polls, which have been an unqualified success. As this is a weekly poll, I am hopeful that those who responded to the first two polls will also weigh in this week and in the weeks that follow, so we can develop a sense of how the collective thinking on these subjects is evolving. I will continue to post this poll on Fridays after the close of regular trading and have the poll close the following Monday at 9:00 a.m. Pacific Time, at which point I will summarize the results and offer some commentary.

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