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ETFs Add $18B in March

April 2nd, 2013
in
ETFs experienced a net inflow of $17.8B in March while total assets rose 3% to $1.47T. US equity focused funds accounted for 71% of the total inflow with $12.7B, followed by bond funds at 24% with $4.2B. Commodity and EM...

When Large Caps Hold Up Relatively Well On A Decline From A High

April 2nd, 2013
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Large-caps definitely held up better than the rest of the market on Monday.  Coming from a 50-day high, this caused the study below to trigger.  It was last seen in the 9/18/12 letter.  Stats are all updated.

April 1st Blogger Sentiment Poll

April 1st, 2013
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Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (-) The Aleph Blog (-) Biiwii (N) BullBear Trading Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Dividend Growth Investor (+) Elliot Wave Lives On (+) Expected Returns Fallond Stock Picks (+) Global Economic...

It's a Tough Market. No, Really.

March 28th, 2013
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Lost in the discussion of the alleged “upcoming” correction (which seems to dominate the news) is the fact that this is a really tough market to beat. The cumulative S&P 500 A/D line for the quarter is currently +4,012 which...

An Intraday Look At Holy Thursday Historical Performance

March 27th, 2013
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Last year I showed that the Thursday before Easter (also known as Holy Thursday) has exhibited a bullish inclination over the years.  Today I thought it would be interesting to break out that performance by overnight vs. intraday returns.  Intraday returns will be shown here.  Overnight returns can be found on Overnight Edges.

An Unusual And Potentially (Short-Term) Bearish Inside Day

March 27th, 2013
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Yesterday was interesting and unusual because it posted an unfilled gap up and a close above the open, but still finished as an inside day.  This triggered the below study in the Quantifinder.

March 25th Blogger Sentiment Poll

March 25th, 2013
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Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants: 24/7 Wall St (-) The Aleph Blog (-) Biiwii (N) BullBear Trading (-) Carl Futia (+) Dash of Insight (+) Dividend Growth Investor (N) Elliot Wave Lives On (+) Expected Returns Fallond Stock Picks (-) Global...

A Fed Day Setup That Has Seen SPX Higher 3 Days Later Every Time Since 1982

March 20th, 2013
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Tuesday’s decline was the 3rd down day in a row.  Many people are now aware that Fed Days have historically had a bullish tilt.  So 3-day selloffs leading up to Fed Days have been quite rare.  But they have also been a very bullish setup.  The table below shows the hypothetical results of buying at the close on the day before a Fed Day if it was at least the 3rd consecutive lower close.  The exit is 3 days later.

The 1st Short-Term Closing Low In A While

March 19th, 2013
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The market had gone quite a while without a pullback before the last 2 days.  Monday, for the 1st time in a while, SPY closed at a 5-day low.  The study below looks at at other instances of SPY closing at a 5-day low after going at least 2 weeks without one.

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