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(U.S.) Relative Strength

Despite the recent turmoil, unlike when I showed this chart last August (a time when the dollar was selling off and gold / commodities were roaring), the ETF's showing the least strength are all currency or real assets. I believe this accurately reflect the current (relative) strength of the U.S.

Checking in on Inflation

Marketwatch details: Inflationary pressures are fading, just as Federal Reserve officials expected. But don’t think that the decline in the inflation rate will automatically lead to further quantitative easing by the Fed. The consumer price index was flat in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. And the CPI is expected to drop by at least 0.2% in May on account of the big drop in gasoline prices.

EconomPics Recap

I just came to the realization that I haven't had an EconomPic recap since March 9th, so here goes: Economic Data

Trade Deficit Blow Out

Remember when we thought the U.S. was going to export our way back to prosperity riding European and emerging market aggregate demand (that wasn't a crazy statement even a year ago... promise)? BusinessWeek details the reality:

Stocks for the Long Run?

While the below chart cherry picks one of the best performing fixed income sectors, it is still pretty amazing.

The Consumer is Back... Consumer Credit Positive (Even Excluding Student Loans)

SF Gate details: Consumer borrowing in the U.S. surged in March by the most in more than a decade on growing demand for educational financing and autos. Credit rose by $21.4 billion, the biggest gain since November 2001, to $2.54 trillion, Federal Reserve figures showed today in Washington. The advance was paced by a $16.2 billion jump in non-revolving debt, including student and car loans.

Employment Market Continues to Muddle Along

The NY Times details: The nation’s employers added 115,000 positions on net, after adding 154,000 in March. April’s job growth was less than what economists had been predicting. The unemployment rate ticked down to 8.1 percent in April, from 8.2 percent, but that was because workers dropped out of the labor force.

When Leverage Attacks

The real estate market is certainly heating up in the San Francisco, my new city, despite the broader Case Shiller Home Index still hovering near cyclical lows.

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