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: 2012 » 03/2012 » 03/01/2012
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Where Have The All or Nothing Days Gone?

March 1st, 2012
in
In the second half of 2011, "all or nothing days" in the S&P 500 were practically an every other day occurrence.  This year though, they have been non existent.  We consider all or nothing days in the market to be days where the net daily A/D reading in the S&P 500 exceeds plus or minus 400.  It's hard to believe that after a year in which we saw a record number of all or nothing days, that this year we have yet to see even one.  In fact, the S&P 500 has now gone 42 trading days without a daily reading in the S&P 500 A/D line of +/-400 or more.

RTE: Nation to Be Spared From Promissory Note Deal

March 1st, 2012
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RTE’s Nine O’Clock news are reporting Enda Kenny as explaining that promissory note negotiations are totally separate from the question of will the Irish people vote for the Fiscal Compact Treaty and that the Irish people will not bribed to vote for the Treaty.

China claims world's biggest shale gas reserves

March 1st, 2012
in
China is planning an investment blitz to unlock its vast reserves of shale gas, convinced it can match the energy revolution under way in the US and meet a significant part of its fast-growing fuel needs.

More on Fiscal Devaluations

March 1st, 2012
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This blog has recurrently featured the role of fiscal devaluations inside a currency union -  a good summary of the argument is here.  (HT Desmond Brennan).  There are traces of this in the Irish case (the increase in VAT and the reduction in employer PRSI for low-paid workers) but more could be done.

Stars Align to Help Haitian Schools

March 1st, 2012
in
Stars Align to Help Haitian Schools STARS Alliance Computing Students Opt for Alternative 2012 Spring Break

Yale's Crash Confidence Index Still Depressed

March 1st, 2012
in
Even after the strong start to the year, Yale's Crash Confidence Index remains depressed.  The Crash Confidence Index is a monthly survey conducted by Yale's School of Management that asks high-net worth individual investors as well as institutional investors how confident they are that there will not be a stock market crash in the next six months.  The actual monthly readings in the chart below show the percentage of respondents that put the odds below 10%.

U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 15.1 million annual rate in February

March 1st, 2012
in
Based on an estimate from Autodata Corp, light vehicle sales were at a 15.1 million SAAR in February. That is up 14.1% from February 2011, and up 6.9% from the sales rate last month (14.13 million SAAR in Jan 2012). This was well above the consensus forecast of 14.0 million SAAR. This graph shows the historical light vehicle sales (seasonally adjusted annual rate) from the BEA (blue) and an estimate for February (red, light vehicle sales of 15.1 million SAAR from Autodata Corp).

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