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: 2011
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Is Draghi's "backdoor QE" strategy starting to work?

December 29th, 2011
in
Eurozone banks stopped selling sovereign bonds in November, possibly in response to the ECB's one-year lending operation conducted in late October and quarter-point rate cut in early November. Banks bought €1.4 billion of euro-denominated general government bonds in November following sales in each of the prior four months, totalling €59.1 billion. (The figures are from table 2.6 from the ECB's Monthly Bulletin.)

The Term Structure of Inflation Compensation in the Nominal Yield Curve[Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, working paper no. 11-33]

December 29th, 2011
in
We propose a DSGE model with regime switching in the central bank’s inflation target to explain inflation compensation in the UK. Taking advantage of the well-documented change in UK monetary policy to adopt inflation targeting, we estimate our model using nominal and inflation-linked Treasury bond data from the UK from 1985 to 2007.

A Bayesian Evaluation of Alternative Models of Trend Inflation[Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, working paper no. 11-34]

December 29th, 2011
in
With the concept of trend inflation now widely understood as to be important as a measure of the public?s perception of the inflation goal of the central bank and important to the accuracy of longer-term inflation forecasts, this paper uses Bayesian methods to assess alternative models of trend inflation.

A Strong Start to Tunisia's Long Journey

December 29th, 2011
in
Tunisia is in the middle of a more promising process of transition than any other country so far, although a lot could still go wrong.

Protests in Russia

December 29th, 2011
in
Russian authorities see the protests as the most serious challenge to their power since taking office in 2000.

The West's Cold War Victory 20 Years On

December 29th, 2011
in
Twenty years after the fall of the Soviet Union, democracies need to develop a new model that fosters civic duty and responsibility in their citizens and takes a more global perspective on leadership in the modern world.

The World in 2012

December 29th, 2011
in
After a year that included the Arab Awakening, the euro crisis, Japan’s nuclear catastrophe, the killing of Osama bin Laden, and the unanticipated reaction to Russia’s recent parliamentary elections, there are many unanswered questions left for 2012.

The Euro Crisis: Behind the Scenes

December 29th, 2011
in
The WSJ has a long article today on some of the key episodes in the 2011 stage of the euro crisis - you can read it here. Jamie Smyth provides an overview of the current state of the Irish banks in this FT article.

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