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China’s new housing starts turn negative

Courtesy of Also Spracht Analyst. The chart below shows that new housing starts (residential) year-to-date in terms of floor area is below what it was in the same period of last year.  This points to a negative impact on the GDP growth figure and not only because real estate investments contributes roughly 10% of GDP, its [...] [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Morning links – May 18

Courtesy of Also Spracht Analyst. The chart below shows that new housing starts (residential) year-to-date in terms of floor area is below what it was in the same period of last year.  This points to a negative impact on the GDP growth figure and not only because real estate investments contributes roughly 10% of GDP, its [...] [[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website for full links, other content, and more! ]]

The ‘hockey stick’ may be faltering

The ‘hockey stick‘ graph produced by Michael Mann, at Penn State may have suffered the final blow to its credibility. As more original data sets are released to the public and other scientists and statisticians have the opportunity to recreate Mann’s work, their findings are lacking the distinct 20th century uptick in temperatures. But at [...]

Kedrosky: Facebook Has Institutional Overhang

Paul Kedrosky, author of the Infectious Greed Blog and a Bloomberg contributing editor, talks about the outlook for Facebook Inc.’s initial public offering. Kedrosky speaks with Erik Schatzker, Stephanie Ruhle, Scarlet Fu and Sara Eisen on Bloomberg Television’s “InsideTrack.” Source: Bloomberg May 17 2012

Fundamentals Lost: Failures of Policies and Governance to Promote Economic Growth

Collected Series:  Perspectives on the G20: The Los Cabos Summit Pull Quote:  It has become imperative to restore impai

A Million SPX Put Contracts Traded Today…a Contrarian Timing Signal

With a half hour to go in today’s trading session, over one million put contracts have already been traded on the S&P 500 index, which is about 2 ½ times the average daily volume. This elevated put volume comes on top of 913,000 SPX put contracts yesterday, which was the second highest for 2012. The one million level is rarely seen in SPX puts and generally indicates an extreme amount of hedging on the part of institutional investors, as well as increased speculative activity.

Individual Investor Sentiment Near Two Year Lows

First it was the strategists lowering their recommended equity allocation down to the lowest levels since March 2009.  Now, individual investors are at their most bearish levels in nearly two years.  According to the weekly survey of individual investor sentiment from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII), bullish sentiment came in at it 23.6%, which is the lowest weekly reading since August 2010.

Global banks see market rally on Greek exit

Major global banks are advising clients to prepare for a stock market rally and a resurgence of the euro if Greece is forced out of monetary union, betting that world authorites will flood the international system with liquidity.

Booming Shipping Network

Very cool graphic showing the extent and route of global shipping lanes:   Click to enlarge: Source: Nicolas Rapp

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